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A case for a fair seat allocation

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(Source – The Hindu, International Edition – Page No. – 10)

Topic: GS2 – Indian Polity
Context
  • India is set to readjust Lok Sabha seats post-2026 based on new Census data.This has raised concerns about regional equity and political balance.

Meaning of Readjustment and Delimitation

  • Readjustment of Lok Sabha seats means changing the number of seats based on population after each Census.
  • Delimitation means redrawing the boundaries of constituencies.
  • Under Article 82 of the Constitution, seat readjustment must follow each Census to match population changes.
  • The current strength of the Lok Sabha was fixed based on the 1971 Census when India’s population was around 54.79 crore.
  • This number has been frozen till 2026 through a constitutional amendment.

Population Growth and Regional Disparities

  • India’s estimated population in March 2025 is about 141 crore.
  • Northern States like Uttar Pradesh and Bihar have seen very high population growth.
  • For example, Uttar Pradesh’s population grew from 8.38 crore in 1971 to 24.1 crore in 2025.
  • Bihar’s population grew from 4.21 crore in 1971 to 13.1 crore in 2025.
  • Southern States successfully controlled their population growth, leading to smaller increases.

Possible Impact of Seat Readjustment

  • In 1971, one Lok Sabha seat represented about 10 lakh people, and this ratio was similar across States.
  • If the same formula is applied now, States with higher population growth will get many more seats.
  • For instance, Uttar Pradesh may get 240 seats instead of 80, while Kerala may only get 36 instead of 20.
  • If the ratio is changed to 15 lakh people per seat, Uttar Pradesh may get 160 seats, but Kerala may get only a few more than 20.
  • If the Lok Sabha expands to 800 seats, each seat will represent around 18 lakh people.

Concerns of Southern States

  • There are concerns that population control efforts by southern States will be punished by giving them fewer seats.
  • A recent meeting of leaders from southern States pointed to the possibility of the issue becoming a strong rallying point.

Need for a Fair Formula

  • A fair solution could be to use the State with the lowest population growth as the standard.
  • Kerala’s population grew by 68% since 1971. Applying this 68% increase to all States will maintain balance.
  • This formula will raise the Lok Sabha seats to 912 and maintain existing proportions among States.

Equity in Representation

  • Article 81(2)(a), which requires equal seat-to-population ratio for all States, may no longer suit present needs.
  • Seat allocation should be based on the principle of equity and sensitivity to regional differences.
  • A fair system must protect the federal balance and reflect the Union nature of India.
Practice Question:  Examine the constitutional, demographic, and federal challenges involved in the readjustment of Lok Sabha seats after the 2026 Census. (150 Words /10 marks)

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