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Five years on, the economic impact of COVID-19 pandemic still lingers

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(Source – The Hindu, International Edition – Page No. – 13)

Topic: GS3 – Indian Economy

Context

  • Five years later, COVID-19 is still affecting the world economy. It has changed debt levels, inflation, jobs, travel, and how people shop.

Impact on Debt and Inflation

  • Governments borrowed money to support welfare and livelihoods, increasing global debt by 12 percentage points since 2020.

  • Emerging markets saw even steeper increases in debt levels.

  • Inflation surged, peaking in many countries in 2022, driven by post-lockdown spending, government stimulus, and supply shortages.

  • Central banks raised interest rates to control inflation, but responses varied by country.

  • Sovereign credit ratings declined due to economic shutdowns and rising debt, with global credit scores still lower than pre-pandemic levels.

  • Emerging market nations suffered even greater declines in their credit ratings.

Labour Market and Travel Changes

  • The pandemic caused millions of job losses, especially affecting women and low-income workers.

  • Employment recovered but shifted towards the hospitality and logistics sectors due to growing retail delivery demand.

  • Women’s workforce participation dropped in 2020, as they were overrepresented in hard-hit sectors and took on more childcare responsibilities.

  • Travel and leisure habits changed, with work-from-home reducing city commutes despite a return to pre-pandemic travel levels.

  • The airline industry suffered $175 billion in losses in 2020 but rebounded, with 5.2 billion passengers expected in 2025.

  • Hotel prices remain above 2019 levels, especially in Oceania, North America, Latin America, and Europe.

  • Office vacancy rates have increased due to more remote work and flexible job arrangements.

Rise of the Digital Economy

  • Online shopping surged during lockdowns and has remained stable post-pandemic.

  • Retailers expanded both online and offline shopping spaces, with physical selling space in Europe increasing by nearly 1% from 2022 to 2023.

  • Digital and delivery firms saw major growth during the pandemic, though some lost appeal over time.

  • Retail investors contributed to 27% of stock trading in December 2020, with online trading platforms becoming popular.

Practice Question: Discuss the long-term economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on global debt, inflation, labor markets, and digital transformation. (150 Words /10 marks)

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