1 May April 2024 : Indian Express Editorial Analysis
1. The new productive force
Topic: GS2 – International Relations
This topic is relevant for both Prelims and Mains as the analysis of China’s technological ambitions, the US response, and global technological coalitions sheds light on contemporary international relations dynamics. |
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China’s Pursuit of Technological Dominance:
- China’s recent campaign to master new productive forces, as championed by President Xi Jinping, signifies Beijing’s ambition to overtake Washington in advanced science and technology.
- This campaign, rooted in classical communist theory, aims to transition China from labor-intensive to technology-intensive production.
- Under Xi’s leadership, China has made significant strides in various sectors but still lags behind the US in areas like semiconductor production and generative AI.
US Response and Global Technological Coalitions:
- The Biden administration has enacted a robust industrial policy to renew American leadership in advanced technologies, including bipartisan legislation and efforts to limit support for Chinese technological development.
- The US is also fostering global technology coalitions, such as the Quadrilateral forum and the Chip-4 alliance, to counter China’s technological rise.
- These initiatives highlight the intensifying global competition for technological dominance.
Europe’s Quest for Technological Sovereignty:
- French President Emmanuel Macron has emphasized Europe’s urgent need to reclaim technological power and close the gap with the US and China.
- Macron advocates for substantial investments in AI, quantum computing, space, biotechnology, and new energy technologies.
- His call for strengthening Europe’s industrial and technological sovereignty underscores the continent’s aspirations in the global technological landscape.
India’s Historical and Current Approach to Science and Technology:
- India has long prioritized science and technology in its developmental strategy, with initiatives under Prime Minister Narendra Modi focusing on digital technologies, renewable energy, semiconductor production, and AI capabilities.
- Technology also plays a significant role in India’s foreign policy, particularly in strategic partnerships with the US and Europe.
- The BJP’s election manifesto underscores India’s ambitions to become a leading space power and promote innovation through robust R&D infrastructure and investment in quantum computing.
Challenges and Recommendations for India:
- To compete in the global race for mastery over new productive forces, India must undertake sweeping reforms in its technology departments, increase national expenditure on R&D, and foster greater private sector participation in technology development.
- Addressing entrenched S&T monopolies and modernizing the technological foundation of the economy are imperative for India to achieve its goal of becoming a significant player in the global technological landscape.
Conclusion:
- As the world witnesses a race for technological dominance, India stands at a critical juncture where strategic decisions regarding technology policy will shape its future trajectory.
- The next government in Delhi must prioritize modernization, innovation, and global collaboration to position India as a leading force in the era of new and high-quality forces of production.
What is India’s approach to Science & Technology policy? |
· India’s approach to Science & Technology (S&T) policy is multifaceted, aiming to foster innovation, research, and development across various sectors. It emphasizes indigenous technology development, collaboration with international partners, and leveraging S&T for socio-economic development.
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Practice Question: Discuss the role of technology policy in shaping India’s economic growth and global competitiveness. How can India leverage emerging technologies to address socio-economic challenges and enhance its position in the global arena? (250 words/15 m) |
2. CAUTIOUS OPTIMISM
Topic: GS3 – Indian Economy – Issues relating to growth
This topic is relevant for both Prelims and Mains as the analysis provides insights into India’s economic growth trajectory, highlighting recent performance and future projections. |
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Variability in Growth Projections:
- Despite overall optimism, there exists variability in growth projections among different institutions.
- While the World Bank expects a slightly lower growth rate of 6 percent, rating agencies such as Crisil and ICRA offer estimates ranging from 6.5 to 6.8 percent.
- Nonetheless, this range of GDP growth estimates indicates India’s potential to maintain its position as the fastest-growing large economy globally.
Factors Driving Optimism:
Several factors contribute to the optimistic growth outlook for India.
- Forecasts of an above-normal southwest monsoon by the India Meteorological Department raise expectations for robust food production, potentially stimulating rural demand.
- Additionally, expectations of increased private investment, driven by rising capacity utilization rates and healthy bank and corporate balance sheets, further buoy economic prospects.
- However, concerns linger regarding the possible slowdown in government capital expenditure due to upcoming elections and the uncertain global trade environment characterized by geopolitical conflicts.
Challenges and Priorities:
- While India’s demographic dividend presents an opportunity for economic growth, it also poses challenges in terms of providing productive employment opportunities for the millions entering the workforce annually.
- Addressing this challenge should be a top priority for the government. Moreover, the imperative of fiscal consolidation and debt reduction cannot be overlooked amidst the push for economic growth.
- The next government must navigate these challenges while sustaining and enhancing India’s growth momentum.
Conclusion:
- India’s economic outlook appears optimistic, with growth projections revised upwards by international institutions.
- However, variability in estimates and challenges such as ensuring productive employment and fiscal consolidation underscore the need for prudent policymaking and sustained efforts to propel India’s economic growth trajectory forward.
What Steps can be Taken to Make this Growth more Robust and Sustainable? |
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PYQ: Increase in absolute and per capita real GNP do not connote a higher level of economic development, if: (2018)
(a) Industrial output fails to keep pace with agricultural output. (b) Agricultural output fails to keep pace with industrial output. (c) Poverty and unemployment increase. (d) Imports grow faster than exports. Ans: (c) |
Practice Question: Discuss the recent performance and growth projections of the Indian economy as per various reports by international organizations. Highlight the factors contributing to India’s positive growth outlook and identify key challenges that could potentially hinder economic momentum. Suggest policy measures to address these challenges and ensure sustained and inclusive economic growth in India. (250 words/15 m) |