15 May 2023 : The Hindu Editorial
The Hindu Editorial
15-May-2023
Daily Current Affairs For UPSC ,The Hindu Editorial Summary
1. This strategic-economic bloc will only tighten the leash.
Topic: GS2,GS3.
Context:
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In 2019, India withdrew from the RCEP, a trade pact involving China, Japan, South Korea, Australia, New Zealand, and ASEAN.
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In 2023, India joined the IPEF, a U.S.-driven economic partnership framework.
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The change in India’s stance reflects a strategic shift towards closer alignment with the United States.
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Issue:
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Developing a strategic partnership with the U.S. is India’s top foreign policy priority, while its relationship with China has deteriorated.
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Economic dependency on the U.S. should not come at the cost of India’s economic interests.
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Concerns regarding a trade deal with China included the impact on India’s manufacturing sector and the influx of cheap Chinese goods into Indian markets.
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Economic issues in the U.S. include agriculture, intellectual property, labour and environmental standards, and the digital economy.
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The U.S.’s IPEF proposal focuses on areas beyond tariffs,such as intellectual property, services, investment, domestic regulation, and labour and environmental standards.
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Traditional trade deals in the U.S. face potential obstacles in the legislature, and a tariffs-free trade deal is presented as a way to overcome resistance to free trade agreements.
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The IPEF’s language creates vague webs that may not be obvious in their economic impact, benefiting U.S. strategists.
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Assessment by experts suggests that the IPEF could give the U.S. a stranglehold over the economic systems of participating countries, excluding China.
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The IPEF aims to develop a strategic-economic bloc centred on the U.S. and limits leeway for domestic policies and industrialization efforts.
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Possible issues with joining IPEF:
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Developing country trade negotiators find it difficult to understand and respond to the language of the IPEF, which is filled with sophistry and relatively high-level, innocent-sounding text.
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The rushed timeline for concluding the IPEF by November 2023 raises concerns, as traditional free trade agreements take years to finalize.
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The seemingly innocent language of the IPEF could trap countries in permanent commitments, compromising domestic policy-making space with implications becoming apparent over time.
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The IPEF has four pillars: trade, supply chains, clean economy, and fair economy. India has joined the other three pillars but not trade due to fears of falling into a trap, but there is pressure to join trade as well.
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The IPEF’s pillars contribute to developing new economic architectures and structures beyond tariffs, which could have a strong impact on economic and trade flows in the long run.
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Joining the IPEF could lead to hard-wiring supply chains and surrendering policy spaces in digital, labour and environment, and export constraints, resulting in irreversible economic dependency.
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Implications of the IPEF can be observed in agriculture, genetically modified seeds and food, regulation of Big Tech, unfair labour and environment standards, and hindering the creation of a vibrant domestic ecosystem in emerging areas like the digital economy and green products.
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2. Policymakers should keep a vigil on inflation.
Topic: GS3.
Context:
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Retail inflation in India slowed to an 18-month low of 4.7% in April, compared to an eight-year high of 7.8% in April 2022.
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Issue:
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While headline inflation cooled by 96 basis points from March’s 5.66%, month-on-month price gains accelerated to 0.51% in April, up from 0.23% in March.
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In April, food price gains softened, with the Consumer Food Price Index decreasing by 95 basis points to 3.84%.
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Oils and fats experienced deflation, widening to 12.3% in April from 7.86% in March. Inflation in cereals also slowed to 13.7% from 15.3%.
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However, within the food and beverages category, nine of the 12 subgroups saw sequential price gains, with vegetables registering 1.7% month-on-month inflation and fruits surging almost 4%.
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Prices of pulses, sugar, and confectionery showed accelerations in both year-on-year and month-on-month inflation rates.
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The government is taking measures to monitor pulse stocks and may impose more export curbs on sugar to prevent price increases.
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Base effects from last year and supply-side measures are expected to keep headline retail inflation below the Reserve Bank of India’s upper tolerance threshold of 6% in the current quarter.
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Risks to the inflation outlook include oil prices and uncertainty regarding the monsoon, with the possibility of an El Niño impacting foodgrains production.
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Policymakers need to remain vigilant on inflation despite current favourable conditions.
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For Enquiry
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