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Rabi Crop Sowing Rebounds Amid Weather and Fertilizer Challenges; Food Inflation Remains a Concern

(Source: Indian Express; Section: Explained; Page: 11)

Topic: GS3 – Agriculture
Context:
  • Unusually high temperatures in October delayed sowing of key rabi crops like wheat, mustard, and chana.
  • These temperatures, the highest since 1901 in several regions, adversely impacted seed germination and caused bacterial rot in mustard.
  • Crops like potato and jeera were particularly affected, as their optimal sowing period had passed by the time temperatures normalized in mid-November.

 Analysis of News:   

Fertilizer Shortages and Their Consequences

  • The scarcity of di-ammonium phosphate (DAP) fertilizer compounded the challenges for farmers.
  • DAP, essential for early root development, was in lower supply compared to the previous year, forcing farmers to delay sowing or rely on less effective alternatives.
  • This shortage raised concerns about potential impacts on crop growth and yields, especially for wheat and potatoes.

Recovery and Positive Indicators

Despite early setbacks, the situation improved after mid-November:

  • Increased Water Availability: A surplus monsoon filled reservoirs to 86.7% of their capacity, well above historical averages, ensuring ample irrigation for rabi crops.
  • Normalizing Temperatures: Seasonal temperatures returned to normal, aiding late sowings.
  • La Niña Influence: A developing La Niña event is expected to bring a prolonged winter, potentially mitigating the effects of late sowing and boosting yields, particularly for wheat.

Current Sowing Trends

  • Updated data shows recovery in wheat, chana, and masoor acreages, surpassing last year’s levels.
  • However, mustard sowing continues to lag, reflecting the lasting impact of unfavorable weather and delayed sowing windows.

Food Inflation and Economic Outlook

  • High food inflation, driven by disrupted vegetable supplies and lower wheat stocks, remains a concern.
  • Potato and edible oil prices are expected to stay elevated due to weather-related production challenges and global market dynamics.
  • On the other hand, inflation in pulses and vegetables is likely to moderate with improved supplies from winter harvests.

Policy Implications

  • The government may consider reducing import duties on wheat and edible oils to stabilize domestic prices, especially as wheat stocks approach the normative minimum.
  • These measures, coupled with La Niña-induced favorable weather, could ensure a better rabi harvest and ease food inflation in the coming months.

Everything You Need To Know About

Practice Question:  Discuss the challenges faced by Indian farmers during the 2024 rabi sowing season due to high temperatures and fertilizer shortages. Evaluate the measures needed to mitigate such disruptions and ensure stable food production and inflation control. (250 words/15 m)

 

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